#5 - A U.S. President is assassinated.
I voted no. Our last assassination was 51 years ago. Granted, I think that attempts are more common as the years go by, but I think the security measures are advancing more quickly. I think a planned assassination would be very hard to pull off in the modern world. If it happens, it's probably going to be some weird fluky thing where the president does some impromptu campaign stop and encounters a loony who happens to be carrying a gun.
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