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So if the Chiefs lost tonight and every game that DaFace listed broke in our favor, our playoff chances would be 56%. If the Chiefs lost and every game that DaFace listed broke against us, our playoff chances would be 35%. So cumulatively the other games matter about 2/3 as much as the KC-Denver game. The big difference is that the KC-Denver game is winner take all, while the other games will probably have some outcomes that work for us and others that work against us.
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