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Old 12-02-2014, 09:41 PM   #85
philfree philfree is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox View Post
True, sort of. No game is hugely more important than than another, but the critical thing is to win 3 of 4.



A whole dozen out of 2^64? Wow. I recommend looking at about the 5000 most likely scenarios and go from there. But you are basically correct that getting to 10-6 wiht the last loss coming against Arizona gets us to a 97% chance of making the playoffs.





Complete hogwash. If we get to 10 - 6 with a loss to the following teams the odds of us making the playoffs are:

Pittsburgh: 82%
Oakland: 95%
San Diego: 63%
All that said if we win in Arizona our odds of making the playoffs increase? Exactly!
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