Alright, I'll play along haha... I'm sure I'll be wayyyy off but who cares.
AFC
3) Pittsburgh 27
6) Baltimore 24
In both regular season meetings the home team won in a blowout. I expect a closer game this time around, but the home team winning again.
4) Indianapolis 27
5) Cincinnati 17
The Colts blanked the Bengals in October and I expect very similar results the second time around.
1) New England 34
4) Indianapolis 28
New England trounced Indianapolis earlier in the season and the Pats are rolling. I expect New England to win at home once again.
2) Denver 38
3) Pittsburgh 27
Denver's offense has been less stellar against solid defenses coupled with offenses that can pound the rock on the ground. Pittsburgh is still solid enough to give Denver fits with their defense and they can certainly run the ball. I don't know if that's enough to overcome Denver and their top 5 defense and offense.
1) New England 38
2) Denver 31
Its Brady-Manning Bowl 5. These two have met four times in the playoffs with them splitting 2-2. Three of the four games have been in the AFC title game with Manning winning twice. The two teams met in November with New England slapping Denver in the face 43-21. I'm going with New England in Foxboro again.
NFC
3) Dallas 17
6) Detroit 24
Detroit has the #1 rush defense in the league and the 13th ranked pass defense. They are #2 overall. That's a tall task for Dallas, even in Dallas. Dallas, meanwhile, has the 7th worst pass defense in the NFL to match up with the 12th ranked passing offense. I'm going with the Lions here, especially given Suh and Fairley should both be playing.
4) Carolina 17
5) Arizona 13
Carolina has a legitimate shot to upset the Cardinals given Arizona's porous pass defense and this game being in Carolina. Carolina is the 11th ranked passing defense against Arizona's 14th ranked passing offense. This should be a tight game, and I'm going with the home underdog. Arizona's offense really struggled in the stretch run.
1) Seattle 24
6) Detroit 14
Seattle's defense has been lights out lately and that is all I really have to say about it. It should be fun to watch the #1 rush offense (Seattle) against the #1 rush defense (Detroit). Seattle though is #1 against the pass and Detroit relies heavily on it offensively. Advantage Seattle.
2) Green Bay 31
4) Carolina 10
Green Bay slaughtered Carolina in October, and I see no reason it won't be the same whooping it was then. I got Green Bay big.
1) Seattle 24
2) Green Bay 20
Seattle has had Green Bay's number lately, fair or not. Green Bay has struggled against good defenses this year. I have Seattle returning to the dance.
SUPER BOWL
1) New England 21
1) Seattle 27
I don't often pick a battle of #1 seeds, but I have it that way this season.
Here are the matchups by ranking:
Seattle D - #3 vs Run, #1 vs Pass
New England O - #18 in Run, #9 in Pass
New England D - #9 vs Run, #17 vs Pass
Seattle O - #1 in Run, #27 in Pass
The matchups are even, but its the game on the field that matters most. I think Seattle's defense is just too much and they repeat.
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