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Alex loses in the same two scenarios
1) When a gunslinger gets the green light to just keep throwing it. No matter if the guy throws 3 picks, he's getting the ball back and if he can score 4 touchdowns in 2 minutes, Alex Smith isn't beating him. Whenever Alex gets in a gunslinger duel with a QB, we rely way to much on the defense to bail him out, and if the other team has our defenses number that week, Alex has NO chance. I can actually only think of 1 gunslinger game Alex has won himself and that was against Drew Brees when he was with the 49ers. When the Lucks, Big Bens, Flaccos of the world turn it on with their big arms, Alex usually gets smoked.
2) When a really shitty team plays Alex Smith football against Alex Smith. A crappy game manager QB with a run game and the score is 13-7 and our defense plays a good game, and all we need is Alex to get us 1 more score and he can't. He usually loses these. His play style is his own kryptonite against him. Evidence of that are last years slopfests against the Titans, Raiders and Cardinals. When you need him to get you 7 against a shit team that's controlling clock he can't do it because both teams are putting on long, slow, sloppy dink and dunk drives and he doesn't have many chances.
This is why he beats a lot of good teams that are fast paced; Chargers, Patriots, Eagles, Cowboys, etc. They put on drives with the pass/no huddle but they aren't long throws, so the clock stops if your defense generates an incomplete. Thus Alex gets the ball back so he can put on his long drive and it can balance out to a medium gameflow. But he can't hang with big armed QBs that can turn into fire at any point in the game and score in 30 seconds, and he can't beat shitty teams that take too long running the ball.
His pace is right in the middle, where the game flows nearly perfectly.
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