Quote:
Originally Posted by cosmo20002
I'm not sure they are really meant or expected to be accepted. It fits such a narrow range of players, so narrow that nobody has ever accepted.
Pretty much anyone good enough to be offered a 1-yr deal worth $15M is going to be good enough to be offered multiple years at $15M or more as a free agent, so why would they ever take the deal.
It seems to only possibly fit a player right on the edge of the $15M market value, where he thinks that taking a 1 yr deal and having a good year will catapult them into a much higher range the next year. But even then, do you pass up multi-years at $15M as a free agent to take 1 yr at $15M in hopes of later getting multi years at $20M, when you risk injury or a bad year and ending up with multi-years at $5M?
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That's sort of my point. Even a guy who is worth $10mm a year is likely to reject a single year deal of $15mm in order to secure a longer contact. It's an inefficiency in the market that has yet to be exploited. Worst case scenario, you slightly overpay a player for one year. The upside is a free first round draft pick.