Thread: Chiefs Home Field Advantage
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Old 12-28-2015, 11:52 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaFace View Post
Just for fun, I ran some numbers on the season to try and get a feel for what's happening when we're at Arrowhead vs. on the road. As a caveat, I'm considering the London game to be a road game no matter what the NFL says.

Record:
Home - 4-2 (0.667)
Road - 6-3 (0.667)

On that metric, we're pretty much even for the season. Doesn't tell us too much. However, during the win streak, more of them have come on the road than have come at home (6 vs. 4), so that's mildly interesting.

Point Differential (average):
Home: +3.5 (6 games)
Road: +10.1 (9 games)

As I'd kind of suspected, we play games MUCH closer when we're at Arrowhead. That doesn't mean we lose them, but we seem to take the foot off the pedal more at home.

Point Differential (average - win streak only):
Home: +7.3 (4 games)
Road: +20.3 (6 games)

So even when we throw out the losses and just look at margin of victory, we're blowing people out of the water on the road, but not even winning by more than one score at home.

So what the hell? Why do we shut it down at home, but step on their throats on the road? And are these trends enough to make us consider how we might play in two weeks?

The offense completely stalling does not indicate the Chiefs are taking their foot off the gas. Chiefs have some offensive problems, mainly the OL. They're playing terrible right now. The Chiefs are winning despite the lackluster play on offense because they're stepping up on defense and they're creating key turnovers at opportune times and sometimes they're scoring pts on defense. When this team's offense stalls, it stalls for a couple of qtrs until the defense bails them out.
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