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Old 01-06-2016, 09:44 AM   #2184
duncan_idaho duncan_idaho is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Prison Bitch View Post
Looking like its $8.4M now.





I'm indifferent. He's entering decline phase no question and he was never a great hitter. But we have $30M to spend and glaring holes in both corner OF. If he even has 1 AS caliber year he's paid off half. And they're getting ready to move him to 1B in two years anyway so he should be able to squeeze out value in yrs 3+4.

His 2011 and 2012 seasons probably register as "great" offensive season, but he's been more of an above-average hitter than a great one.

At 8.4/WAR, he needs to produce 8.5 WAR for the Royals to break even. I think it's reasonable to hope he gives you one more great all-around season 4-4.5 WAR, legit all-Star level), one more above average, and then a couple as a quality/average type starter.

I expect he'll see some time at 1B in 2018 and 2019 as well (as will Salvador Perez), but still play some Lf (unless his defense in LF remains above-average).

Of course, if someone stakes a claim to 1B in the meantime, that could change. I
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