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Projection systems continue to expect some things the Royals to excel at to normalize:
1) RP performance.
2) Defensive excellence
3) HR/FB rate
Despite the fact the royals have been excellent at 1) and 2) for a very large sample size (five seasons now), severe drop-off continues to be projected.
Despite the fact the Royals play at minimum 100 games/year at Ballparks that suppress the HR (Kaufman, Detroit, Minnesota, HR/FB regression continues to be projected.
At some point, you have to admit your model isn't working.
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