Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut
With the rollover rules, even overpaying for a single year is a big deal.
Moreover, football is essentially the exact opposite of baseball with its hard cap and non-guaranteed money. In baseball, there's literally no such thing as a bad 1-year contract. It can't hurt you long-term (no cap) and with no spending floors, there's nothing that's going to drive leaguewide spending inexorably forward. So a long-term deal that's 100% guaranteed isn't going to necessarily be a bargain in a year or two and if it isn't, you're still stuck with it.
Whereas in football, a long-term deal serves so many purposes. It allows you to shift cap. It gives you the opportunity to keep a guy below market if he performs. If he doesn't, it's non-guaranteed money so you cut him loose. In baseball, you pay a larger AAV to get a guy on a shorter term deal. In football, the exact opposite should be the case. If all you're getting is a single year out of it, you damn sure shouldn't be paying the market AAV for that year. It's why guys that are on the tag and sign a deal inevitably sign for less in AAV than that tag year would've been (and why their first year cap figure always drops).
Giving Logan an $8 million AAV without any sort of ability to capitalize on it if he DOES rebound to 2015's level is all risk with little upside.
That's why I don't think there's a chance in hell that this deal is truly an $8 million contract. If they were going to throw $8 million of this year's cap at somebody, they could've secured a $12 million AAV caliber player on a 3-4 year deal with the ability to shift money down the line and get out of a lot of it (or keep him if he performs).
1/$8 million just doesn't make any sense. Not when Chris Baker's getting 3/$18. I don't buy it.
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one point to consider, not that it should be a primary driver for 1 yr $8M head scratcher of a contract, is if he DOES in fact make the most of his prove it 1 yr deal here and sign a good contract elsewhere, we are setup for a potential comp pick.
so if the going rate is $16M for a future 2nd (via the Brownstains), maybe $8M is a bargain for a future 3rd? (i kid of course) just sayin tho...