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Old 11-28-2017, 11:56 PM   #1075
Rain Man Rain Man is offline
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Okay, just for fun I went through and determined who was the master of the draft.

I did it as follows:

1. I calculated the number of draft points available, and what percentage of those points each team had.

2. I calculated the number of years as a starter each teams' draft produced, and the percentage of those years compared to all years in the draft class.

3. I calculated the number of pro bowls each team's draft produced, and the percentage of those pro bowls compared to all pro bowls produced by the draft class. (I then divided this number by 2 to normalize it a bit compared to the indices.)

4. I calculated the total Career AV each team's draft produced (per pro football reference), and the percentage of those AV points compared to all AV points produced the draft class.

5. I then produced an index that divides the bottom three percentages by the top one. This means that you were a winner if you produce larger portions of Career AV, pro bowls, and starting years than your portion of the available draft points.

It's not a perfect indicator for a variety of reasons, but it gives us a measure. Specifically, I think it's a bit biased against teams that had high first-round picks, because I think those are overvalued in the draft points chart. Also, it doesn't consider positional value, so a team that drafts a solid right tackle gets equal credit compared to a guy who drafts a solid quarterback. You can decide on your own if you'd rank teams differently.

Without further ado, here are the rankings from top drafting team to bottom drafting team.

Code:
	        %DP     %YrsSt   %PBs	%AV	Index  Rank
PACKERS Total	1.78%	6.22%	10.00%	5.30%	3.096	1
RAVENS Total	2.04%	3.11%	7.14%	4.76%	1.867	2
FALCONS Total	2.03%	4.15%	2.86%	3.98%	1.572	3
JAGUARS Total	2.93%	4.66%	8.57%	4.72%	1.557	4
LIONS Total	3.20%	5.44%	7.14%	5.40%	1.500	5
DOLPHINS Total	2.26%	3.37%	5.71%	3.76%	1.472	6
RAIDERS Total	1.22%	1.81%	0.00%	2.63%	1.219	7
CHARGERS Total	3.19%	4.92%	2.86%	3.73%	1.052	8
BEARS Total	1.88%	2.85%	0.00%	2.86%	1.011	9
49ERS Total	3.97%	5.44%	2.86%	5.04%	1.001	10
BUCCANEERS	2.52%	1.55%	5.71%	2.57%	0.922	11
CHIEFS Total	2.40%	3.11%	0.00%	3.37%	0.902	12
PANTHERS Total	5.68%	4.92%	11.43%	4.34%	0.879	13
CARDINALS Total	4.35%	3.63%	7.14%	4.24%	0.876	14
REDSKINS Total	3.11%	3.37%	2.86%	3.18%	0.854	15
PATRIOTS Total	4.84%	4.92%	2.86%	4.95%	0.778	16
TITANS Total	3.73%	2.59%	4.29%	3.89%	0.770	17
BENGALS Total	4.60%	2.59%	8.57%	3.37%	0.743	18
COWBOYS Total	3.71%	4.15%	0.00%	3.34%	0.673	19
SAINTS Total	2.42%	2.07%	1.43%	1.93%	0.651	20
Vikings Total	3.06%	3.63%	0.00%	2.35%	0.650	21
BROWNS Total	4.21%	1.81%	5.71%	2.96%	0.603	22
STEELERS Total	1.79%	1.81%	0.00%	1.35%	0.588	23
BILLS Total	5.35%	4.40%	1.43%	4.02%	0.569	24
COLTS Total	2.34%	2.07%	0.00%	1.57%	0.520	25
TEXANS Total	3.48%	2.85%	0.00%	2.35%	0.497	26
RAMS Total	3.08%	2.59%	0.00%	1.83%	0.479	27
GIANTS Total	2.50%	1.55%	0.00%	1.67%	0.429	28
EAGLES Total	2.50%	1.30%	0.00%	1.70%	0.400	29
BRONCOS Total	6.35%	3.11%	1.43%	1.70%	0.290	30
SEAHAWKS Total	2.07%	0.00%	0.00%	0.84%	0.135	31
JETS Total	1.40%	0.00%	0.00%	0.29%	0.069	32
Based on this information, the masters of the 2011 draft were:

#1 Packers (SNR)

The Packers held 1.78% of draft points, but produced 10% of pro bowl appearances, 6 percent of starting years, and 5 percent of career AV. Here's their draft.

1 32. PACKERS*(SNR)*Mike Pouncey, OG/OC, Florida
2 32.*PACKERS*(SNR)*DeMarco Murray, RB, Oklahoma
3 32. PACKERS*(SNR)*Chimdi Chekwa, CB, Ohio State
4 32. PACKERS*(SNR)*James Brewer, OT, Indiana
5 32. PACKERS*(SNR)*Chris Conte, FS, California
6 32. PACKERS*(SNR)*Tyrod Taylor, QB, Virginia Tech
7 1. PACKERS*(SNR)*Terrell McClain, DT/DE, South Florida
7 29. PACKERS*(SNR)*Ryan Whalen, WR, Stanford

Pouncey and Murray have each made three pro bowls, while Tyrod has made one. He got contributors Chris Conte and Terrell McClain as well.

#2 - Ravens (Direckshun)

The Ravens held 2.04% of draft points, but produced 7% of pro bowl appearances, 3 percent of starting years, and 5 percent of career AV. Here's their draft.

1 26. RAVENS*(Direckshun)*JJ Watt, DE, Wisconsin
2 26.*RAVENS*(Direckshun)*Joseph Barksdale, OT, LSU
3 26. RAVENS*(Direckshun)*Niles Paul, WR, Nebraska*
4 26. RAVENS*(Direckshun)*Shareece Wright, CB, USC
5 13. REDSKINS*(Marco Polo)*Greg McElroy, QB, Alabama
5 24. REDSKINS*(Marco Polo)*Jah Reid, OT, Central Florida
6 12. REDSKINS*(Marco Polo)*Anthony Gray, NT, Southern Miss
6 26. RAVENS*(Direckshun)*Dwayne Harris, WR, East Carolina
7 19. RAVENS*(Direckshun)*Kevin Rutland, CB, Missouri
7 24. RAVENS*(Direckshun)*John Bender, G, Nevada

Okay, the Ravens' value pretty much came from stealing JJ Watt near the end of the first round. But Dwayne Harris has a pro bowl appearance, and Joe Barksdale logged a few years as a starter. But realistically, this draft was a winner because of the late first rounder.

#3 - Falcons (BossChief)

The Falcons held 2.03% of draft points, but produced 3% of pro bowl appearances, 4 percent of starting years, and 4 percent of career AV. Here's their draft.

1 27. FALCONS*(BossChief)*Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa
2 27.*FALCONS*(BossChief)*Titus Young, WR, Boise State
3 27. FALCONS*(BossChief)*Shane Vereen, RB, Cal
4 27. FALCONS*(BossChief)*Julius Thomas, TE, Portland State
5 27. FALCONS*(BossChief)*Buster Skrine, CB, Chattanooga
6 27. FALCONS*(BossChief)*Shiloh Keo, SS/PR, Idaho*
7 25. FALCONS*(BossChief )*Jeremy Kerley, WR/PR, TCU*
7 26. FALCONS*(BossChief)*Henry Hynoski, FB, Pittsburgh

This is a different model of winning. Thomas is the only pro bowler, but everyone else has contributed to their teams, and he got some late-round gems in Skrine and Kerley.
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Last edited by Rain Man; 11-29-2017 at 07:56 AM..
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