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**BigRedChief** · 03-14-2018, 02:46 PM

538.com : Penn is the best #16 in tourney history. Can they pull the upset?

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...reatest-upset/

For starters, Penn is a lot better than the usual No. 16 seed. According to our Elo ratings — which measure a team’s strength based on (among other factors) who it’s beaten and by how much — the Quakers rank 76th in the country, with an even 1700 rating. How good is that? By definition, the typical D-I team rates around 1500, and since they first became a thing in 1985 (excluding this season), No. 16 seeds have had an average Elo rating of 1483.1 Before Penn this year, the highest-rated No. 16 seed of all time was Portland State, which carried a 1698 rating heading into the 2008 tournament. (It ended up losing, to Kansas of all teams, by 24.) Penn is officially the first No. 16 seed ever to break the 1700 barrier in Elo:

03-14-2018, 02:46 PM	#2604
BigRedChief Has a particular set of skills Join Date: Dec 2003 Location: On the water Casino cash: $-701038 VARSITY	538.com : Penn is the best #16 in tourney history. Can they pull the upset? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...reatest-upset/ For starters, Penn is a lot better than the usual No. 16 seed. According to our Elo ratings — which measure a team’s strength based on (among other factors) who it’s beaten and by how much — the Quakers rank 76th in the country, with an even 1700 rating. How good is that? By definition, the typical D-I team rates around 1500, and since they first became a thing in 1985 (excluding this season), No. 16 seeds have had an average Elo rating of 1483.1 Before Penn this year, the highest-rated No. 16 seed of all time was Portland State, which carried a 1698 rating heading into the 2008 tournament. (It ended up losing, to Kansas of all teams, by 24.) Penn is officially the first No. 16 seed ever to break the 1700 barrier in Elo: __________________ Mahomes is not a game manager. Release the Kraken.
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