Thread: Cardinals 2018 STL Cardinals Thread
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Old 04-16-2018, 09:07 PM   #663
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Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins View Post
It depends. If he has the plate discipline he showed in 2016 and 2017, then you can take a 26-28% K rate because he's walking 8-9% of the time. In comparison, Grichuk walked about 6% of the time and struck out 30% of the time.

The difference between a K:BB ratio of 5:1 and 3:1 is pretty big.
so...... what’s the consensus in all the stats, numbers, blogs that you read. 50/50 chance he’s Grichuk 2.0 or a #3 hitter?

That seems like a very wide range of error on possible predictive performance.
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