Thread: Cardinals 2018 STL Cardinals Thread
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Old 07-30-2018, 06:06 AM   #2441
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins View Post
I've recently come to a conclusion: baseball prospects are like NFL prospects times two. Here's what I mean:

You'll see a lot of sabermetrically-inclined people use a Gaussian/normal distribution to say that they'll end up with this many WAR this percent of the time, but it's really just a cover for admitting ignorance.
Thanks for the info. Informative.

To extrapolate a plan with this info, a GM should be trading top prospects for proven or semi-established MLB players. correct? That would be the safest route and keep whatever "value" your farm system has to benefit the MLB team?
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