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Originally Posted by FAX
It could well be a factor, Mr. Hoopsdoc. I won't dispute that.
There are a few things that most of the pundits (and particularly Colts fans) seem to overlook, however. (Based on what I've seen on SM, YT, IG, etc.)
Thing #1 is how well the Chiefs defense plays at home vs. away. If you actually watch the games, the difference is stark.
Thing #2 is how the games we've played have actually unfolded (a factor that skews overall defensive stats down significantly). We often play with a lead and the defense plays a soft, bendable D that leads to cheap opponent yards. I'm not ignoring the talent issues we have in the back end and at ILB, but facts is facts, nonetheless.
Thing #3 is that the quality of the Colts' recent run is exaggerated by the level of their competition.
Thing #4 is that the Colts' defense isn't (and cannot be) ready to compete with this offense ... because nobody (including the Pats, Rams, Donks, etc.) has been prepared. Our away losses have been shootouts and our 1 home loss was a total collapse in on-field, defensive communication. That's unlikely to happen a second time.
Thing #5 is intriguing to me because the pundits love your o-line so much, they ignore the fact that there are some very young players in critical positions. You can fully expect the Arrowhead crowd to have an adverse effect on their performance.
Sorry, man. It's just the way it is this year.
FAX
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All valid points.
I’ll be interested in seeing if Eberflus mixes in more man tomorrow. They’re painfully aware I’m sure of the way Pat rapes zones. The problem with that, of course, is that they more than likely will suck at playing man, if for no other reason than they haven’t played it much. Moore and Desir were the stars of the Texans game, they completely bracketed Hopkins, but that was with safety help. They’ll be on their own tomorrow, with Hooker and Geathers worrying about Kelce. That’s not a good matchup for us. Hill will run circles around them if they’re not careful.
One thing they did against Houston was blitz from a lot of different angles. Safeties, corners, and linebackers. But that only worked because Watson is completely unable to recognize when the blitz is coming. I don’t think that will work against Mahomes.