Quote:
Originally Posted by ptlyon
Just a bunch of gloom and doom around here. Status quo. The Chiefs are still 3.5 favorites in your house. I say Mahomes goes on to beat you for the fourth time.
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Maybe, he's certainly a hell of a guy to try and contain - near impossible.
In 2016, it took OT to win by 3 in Denver.
In 2017, Butker kicked a FG (off the bar, IIRC) to win by 3 with seconds expiring.
In 2018, KC rallied from 14 down to score the go ahead TD with about 90 seconds on the clock to win by 4. Keenum drives them down to the KC 28 to fail in the comeback.
So, while the Broncos have been less than desirable - the games have been close in Denver. I expect more of the same, if I'm being honest. In each of those 3 games, KC had a consistent threat from the ground... in all 3 games, believe Denver topped 120+ yards and overall the two teams were pretty equal on ground production.
Question is ... can KC run the ball 20+ times consistently and keep drives alive? They haven't topped 15 carries in either of the last 2 games, both losses.
Difference this year - KC's run defense is a great matchup for Lindsay/Freeman and Janovich is healthy. Colts and Texans ran 40+ times each on KC, racking up a ton of yards and keeping Mahomes on the sideline. KC doesn't need to be prolific on the ground, they just need to keep defenses honest and respect the threat... but, it's non-existant right now for KC.
That should be the game plan... grind it out on the ground against a defense that can't stop the run, average 4+ yards a carry.
It's all about whether or not Denver can score TDs and not FGs. It's going to be all about the ground attack Thursday night.