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Originally Posted by DJ's left nut
I went over it a bit when you traded for him, but the bullpen conversion wasn't good for him once he figured out how to succeed, IMO.
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Just shows yet again that baseball front offices aren’t nearly as smart as we think. Or that pitching is just too damn volatile. As Scott Boras once said: “In 100 years of baseball only two facts emerge: 1, you can’t have too much starting pitching and 2, no owner has ever made any money”
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He needed a 3rd offering and found one with an excellent curveball. And he knew it too; he fully understood the value of his curve. Then with the move to the bullpen and a rough patch in CHC he ended up losing the feel for it and feel is absolutely vital for a curveball pitcher. When he lost his confidence and kept getting sent out there for a contending Cubs team, he never had the runway or situation to try to rediscover the feel for that curve - he couldn't get beat with it in the 7th inning of important games.
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Never have understood that. Just flash a 3rd or 4tg pitch for show and that’s good enough. Jason Vargas doesn’t have 3-4 legit pitches, it’s FB-Change with occasional CB flashed on the edge of a plate.
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I felt like a return to the rotation and a spot on a rebuilding squad could be huge for him to let him get that curve back. More pitches, more time to work between outings, a little more rope if he's struggling. All that will allow him to find that curve and then pitch off it.
If he's stuck trying to succeed strictly fastball/changeup, he's a pinata.
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Every time I saw him i said the same thing “Why is Danny Duffy more successful when they’re the same damn guy?” Honestly I’d lay even odds on who produces more WAR the next 3 years and Duffy makes 15/per