Quote:
Originally Posted by O.city
So is Gorman not the cant' miss product he was somewhat billed as? Seems everyone has cooled on him.
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Nobody with a hit tool below 70 should EVER be considered 'can't miss'.
Gorman probably has something near a 70 raw power grade, but a hit tool probably around 50. Guys with average or below hit tools tend to have tougher transitions through the mid-high minors and are more likely to be totally exposed in the majors.
So when you're looking at stuff like FV, a guy with a hit tool like Gorman's is going to struggle to get much higher than say a 55 FV unless he can demonstrate 35+ HR pop in AAA while underage. Because of his stumble in High A last year (especially the declining BB rate to go with the rise in K rate), I put a 50 FV on him.
That's a good prospect; probably deserving of something near a top 50 rank. But like I said, I have a real hard time putting 'can't miss' on a dude w/ a mediocre hit tool until he demonstrates the ability to succeed against advanced pitching. He hasn't seen ANY of that yet.