Quote:
Originally Posted by TLO
Looking at a small sample size will skew your results.
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I think it's over 700 confirmed cases by now. Which is enough sample size that you know the mortality results within a half a % or so. IE - if 1% die - the real rate could be .7% or it could be 1.2%. But it's probably not less or more.
The Chinese doctor was hospitalized for almost a month before he died. So it could take a long time to get a real death rate.
Of course the biggest factor in mortality is being old and having other health problems. Looks like 5 have died so far but obviously this population skews super old.
The number of asymptomatic confirmed cases is concerning.
I've read more than once that the most likely scenario is this thing is going to eventually get everywhere (people in China and Japan have already been reinfected) and it will become another seasonal flu/cold thing we just have to live with.