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Old 03-02-2020, 10:59 AM   #416
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Originally Posted by Donger View Post
No, we do know, based on the figures we have. It's 3.4% overall. Will that change? Almost certainly.
What we know now is that it's a minimum of 3.4%. If everyone with an open case survives, it's 3.4%. If everyone with an open case dies, it's 49.1%. Based on what we see with closed cases, the best bet is 6.3%. But as noted earlier, it'll likely vary due to some issues like timing of the virus arrival in different areas and whether those Chinese precincts are accurately reporting deaths.
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