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Old 03-14-2020, 01:51 PM   #3685
Chief Pagan Chief Pagan is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TLO View Post
Above 5% out of how many cases?
It remains be seen how many people end up getting the virus.

I believe a CDC official said 20% of the population might get the virus in a plausible bad case scenario.

There are around 80 million Americans between the age of 30 and 50. If 20% of that age group get the virus and only 1% need intensive care, that is 160,000 hospital beds.

There are only around a hundred thousand ICU beds in the US and it isn't like they are mostly sitting empty during normal times.

Hence the need to slow the spread.
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