Quote:
Originally Posted by Chief Pagan
It remains be seen how many people end up getting the virus.
I believe a CDC official said 20% of the population might get the virus in a plausible bad case scenario.
There are around 80 million Americans between the age of 30 and 50. If 20% of that age group get the virus and only 1% need intensive care, that is 160,000 hospital beds.
There are only around a hundred thousand ICU beds in the US and it isn't like they are mostly sitting empty during normal times.
Hence the need to slow the spread.
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Most figures I've seen are 40% to 70% of Americans get affected. 20% is super low, and might have been a goal with a competent administration, but that horse has left the barn.
I don't see any way we don't look like Italy in 7 days or so. I do have a degree in biology and worked years formulating PCR based kits like we're trying to pump out for CV19. The truth is, we don't have the tests, medical stockpile, or central pandemic response team to handle this - thanks to Trump. His ineptitude is going to cost thousands of American lives.