Quote:
Originally Posted by dirk digler
I think what you are suggesting was what the UK was going to do but I think they just reversed course.
Also there has been confirmed cases where a person had it, got better, and then later got re-infected.
There has been some really promising info the last day or so about vaccine's\cure's for this and some are starting human testing very soon. If get it I want the malaria (chloroquine)\HIV cocktail.
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Yeah, I think there have been 2 confirmed cases of re-infection. Chicken Pox does the same thing. Acquired immunity isn't 100% effective, obviously. Never has been for any virus anywhere.
Again I guess I just have to ask - if you're not on board with the possibility of acquired immunity being effective long-term, is your solution ultimately a vaccine or bust? And given that most people seem to think that a vaccine is probably still a year out, are you really advocating for a 12 month shutdown of the nation to prevent spread while we figure it out?
From every one of these simulations, the biggest gun in our arsenal IS acquired immunity. If that's not a thing that happens, NONE of this matters. You can't 'flatten the curve' because the eligible population never reduces. That's what I think most people that note that curve seem to be missing. the curve trickles away BECAUSE of acquired immunity so if you want to operate in a world where we can't rely on it, then just chuck all this shit out the window because none of those curves are relevant.
So again - there's an admittedly fine line to walk here. But I don't think the answer is to just keep ratcheting in one direction. In the end you'll go back to where we started.