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Old 03-18-2020, 09:49 PM   #6626
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RunKC View Post
Finally some good news
For the record - what happens in China over the coming days is MASSIVE.

If they open the taps and this thing explodes in 10 days it means 2 things:

1) They probably weren't sitting on this for as long as theorized and in fact, it did spread extremely quickly and with savage results.

2) That the 'virus suppression' approach is dead in the water.

But if it doesn't explode, that suggests pretty strongly that this thing actually spreads pretty damn slowly, they WERE sitting on it for months (whether they knew about it or not is not for the apolitical thread) and that they've probably acquired just enough herd immunity to prevent another epidemic. That would also likely suggest that the number of unreported cases is exceptionally high and the mortality rate lower than feared.

Oh...and then it could just mean that it's China doing China things and by throwing all foreign journalists out, they've put the clamps on reporting again.

In either event, how China rebounds over the coming weeks can tell us a ton.
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