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Old 03-19-2020, 11:43 AM   #6889
DaFace DaFace is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut View Post
I've recommended it twice, but seriously - everyone needs to go look at the animated versions of those 'flatten the curve' simulations.

They do an outstanding job of truly demonstrating how all that will work, especially the ones that also have trackers at the bottom that show the respective 'group' populations.

As you noted, the infected group explodes initially, then you see a slight tick up in deaths, then a slight tick in recoveries, all the while infections are climbing and staying well above both on the scales. Then over a period of weeks, the scales invert, recovery exceeds infected and deaths start to really trickle off as a proportion of the cases.

If one puts stock in the 'curve' at all, go find some of the animated simulations.
Are you referring to the ones in a Washington Post article from a few weeks ago, or do you have a link to the ones you're talking about?
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