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Old 03-19-2020, 02:31 PM   #7078
jjjayb jjjayb is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Donger View Post
You disagree that SARS-CoV-2 has an R0 of 2 to 3? You disagree that the fatality rates is much higher than H1N1?

I don't think we'll have the super scary numbers that some are putting out there, no. And that's because we are locking down.

And, I'm well-aware that we'll never know for sure what would have happened if we hadn't locked things down, and some people will say, "See! No big deal! Overreaction."
Fatality rates based on what? Known cases or estimated cases? We have no idea how many people actually have this now. Especially when you read reports that some people have it and don't even know they have it. That most cases are mild with some not showing any signs of having it. The more people that have this the lower the fatality rate. I think the number of people who have it or have had it is much higher than what is reported.
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