Quote:
Originally Posted by RINGLEADER
Social distancing takes time to take hold — especially when carriers are asymptomatic for the initial week. You’ll see the effect of this immediately to some degree but the full benefit doesn’t manifest for a bit of time. If you figure we have a couple weeks of infections “baked in” and cases double every four days you’d see 1,000 current cases become 25mm in around 10 weeks if not mitigated and if herd immunity doesn’t manifest on its own.
Of course we are mitigating it and there will be some natural immunity formed so that number is probably high but the math they’re using isn’t (in a very broad sense) completely out of the realm of possibility, though unlikely.
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I would like to see what the basis for that statement is. I mean other than Dane says he is right