Quote:
Originally Posted by rockymountainchief
Thought this might be of interest.
For the past five weeks, infectious disease researchers from institutions around the United States have been taking a survey that gathers their thoughts on the trajectory of the COVID-19 virus. The researchers come from academia, government and industry, and are experts in modeling the spread of viruses like this one:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...to-get-either/ |
Not remotely close to an infectious disease expert and I am not a math wiz, but I have enough understanding from working with models that the projections are as only as good as the inputs. The more "kick the tire" inputs you can put in the model, the more predictive the model. The problem we all have is what inputs into these models are close to solid? The article is essentially saying little if any.