Quote:
Originally Posted by petegz28
I get you have a bit of a doomsday take on it but so far a lot of your math isn't showing up. I hope it doesn't either for all of ours sake.
Our death rate if you will has been trending lower and lower. Granted that is helped by increasing numbers in total cases but still, it's better that it goes down than up.
We were supposed to be Italy by this time. Now those same people are saying it's going to take another 2 weeks and THEN we will be Italy. Even though they said 2 weeks ago we would be there by now.
Let's just hope you're wrong.
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Again, I think you’re applying current infected and death rates when the time it takes for an infection to become serious/critical and lead to death is anywhere from a few days to two weeks or more. That’s why getting the overall infected numbers and rate of infection down now will keep the critical/death number down in 1-2 weeks.
And it technically isn’t “my” number with respect to the percentage that require hospitalization or ventilators. It’s what the government and WHO are saying. But I agree with you, let’s hope they’re wrong.