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Old 03-23-2020, 06:39 PM   #10113
Marcellus Marcellus is online now
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tk13 View Post
I keep telling you but you don't listen. It's pretty clear at this point you don't want to. Some of you guys are just being stubborn for the fun of it.

Even if you take a conservative estimate based on the fact we don't know all the cases... the hospitalization and mortality rates are miles higher with this than 2009.
Look man, Ive pointed out correctly and repeatedly that thought process is flawed.

If we have so many cases we dont know about, some studies have said 6 out of 7 cases are unknown, then its not nearly as deadly as you think it is.

By a little over 100 days in (end of July 2009) H1N1 there were 2MM cases in the US alone. 2 million. (1MM on June 26th)

I put up number showing if the death toll doubled every 4 days we would be at 15% of H1N1 deaths in 2 weeks. This would be 15% of the deaths over 25% of the timeline. 3 months vs 12 months.

I repeat 15% of the deaths in 25% of the same timeline. 3 months vs 12 months.

If you want to argue they are similar, hell if you want to argue Covan has the potential to be a little worse go for it.

To say its apples and oranges is an outright falsehood driven by hysteria.

Also 87% of H1N1 deaths were children and working age adults. That seems like a BIGGER issue.
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