Quote:
Originally Posted by Marcellus
Look man, Ive pointed out correctly and repeatedly that thought process is flawed.
If we have so many cases we dont know about, some studies have said 6 out of 7 cases are unknown, then its not nearly as deadly as you think it is.
By a little over 100 days in (end of July 2009) H1N1 there were 2MM cases in the US alone. 2 million.
I put up number showing if the death toll doubled every 4 days we would be at 15% of H1N1 deaths in 2 weeks. This would be 15% of the deaths over 25% of the timeline. 3 months vs 12 months.
I repeat 15% of the deaths in 25% of the same timeline. 3 months vs 12 months.
If you want to argue they are similar, hell if you want to argue Covanhas the potential to be a little worse go for it.
To say its apples and oranges is an outright falsehood driven my hysteria.
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I am not hysterical. I said four weeks ago no one should panic. They still shouldn't panic. But it's pretty clear at this point there's plenty of evidence this thing can spread pretty easily and it is more likely to put you in the hospital and kill you than those other diseases. What's the benefit of saying it isn't? I don't get the endgame.
The death rate for H1N1 was 0.02%. You think this virus currently is killing people at that rate? Is that what you really think?
If literally every single person in the world who has it right now survived, the death rate would still be twice of H1N1.
And that doesn't even get into the hospitalization part of it. Why are hospitals in all these different countries getting overrun? Why is that happening if this isn't causing people to go to the hospital?