Quote:
Originally Posted by petegz28
Math? This isn't some pre-determined formula. Your math appears to be void of some significant variables.
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It absolutely is math. The only variables we control are the R0 and the number of ventilators we have.
This was true last week and it will be true next week.
Hopefully the drugs work. Hopefully we get more ventilators. But absent that the numbers are going up.
Just look at today. 10,000+ new cases. How many of those people do you think are going to die? Then go back 8 days and apply that percentage to the total new cases from 8 days ago. See the problem in your thinking?