Quote:
Originally Posted by RINGLEADER
I respect everyone on here who wants to say they believe something else — I’m just telling you that the math might be off a point here or there but is otherwise provable from a lot of statistics that are sitting right in front of all of us.
Everywhere there is a real lockdown there is a 10-14 day period of exponential growth baked in. Between 12%-13% of those people will die based on the math. If we do a better job of slowing the spread the overall group that is subject to that fraction goes down. There is a number (when the health care system becomes maxed out) that the percentage of the overall group of new infected rises. By keeping the first number low we will keep the second number low.
None of this is exact of course. But to say we won’t have more deaths then some other country ignores the data to date.
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We already have deaths more than some of other countries. No one is saying we won't or don't. What people are arguing is your linear math that compensates for nothing at all in the way of mitigation.