Quote:
Originally Posted by RINGLEADER
We have way more than enough data to determine trends. You are absolutely right that there are a lot of variables. The overall numbers are sufficient to account for most of what you’re pointing out.
I used the math in a post yesterday to come to a daily number of 216 yesterday. It was 206. Tomorrow the math says 341. I guess we’ll see.
Again, I hope you’re the one who’s right!
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I hope so too. I think we are going to continue seeing an increase in cases but a decrease in deaths per case.
I also think For every person tested positive there are probably 2-3 walking around with little or no symptoms and will never be tested if not more.
The whole battle right now aside from those at risk for death, is preventing a mass run on the hospitals. New York is probing to be at bit of an anomaly compared to most of the rest of the country and I think we can explain why.
And, as cruel as it sounds, as I stated before, there is a certain number of people who are at higher risk for death. If they unfortunately die that number decreases so that drastically changes the math.
From what I have heard from the leaders at our health system is we just have to keep it manageable. Meaning we have to make sure we have beds, ventilators, PPE, etc.
This virus is not going to go away. We just have to bide our time until we are in a better position to deal with it via vaccines, etc.