Not sure if this has been shared (sorry, tough to keep up with the thread during the day), but it supposedly makes all the modeling and updates daily. Takes into account when different measures were put in place to mitigate using up health care resources and ICUs. Can look at the entire US (estimating around 82,000 deaths through August right now) or individual states (looks like CA won't run out of beds of ICUs!!).
The numbers, again, update daily and CA has been on a great trajectory down. So just because it shows XX number of deaths today it doesn't mean it won't drop tomorrow.
Anyway, found it interesting...
http://covid19.healthdata.org/