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Old 04-01-2020, 11:13 AM   #14636
O.city O.city is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut View Post
But that's essentially what "flatten the curve" was saying to do.

The problem is that social media got ahold of it, people got scared and everything went completely batshit.

Again - the curve REQUIRES spread. That's always been the case. Anyone that actually bothered to learn anything about their silly little meme they were posting would've understood that. It was fundamental to the entire concept. Again I look at Boone county and see that they're nowhere near capacity with no meaningful spread and think that ultimately we're not accomplishing anything. We're just delaying the inevitable until we get to a point where everyone's just done with the whole damn thing. How are we moving towards a finish line right now?

And like I said 2 weeks ago, it sure as hell looked like mission creep was going to take over and suddenly everyone would be calling for measures to simply stop the spread outright. Measures that would be quixotic and ultimately counterproductive.

And hey, here we are.

We have Virginia's governor shutting shit down through July now. Why? Because nobody's going to say "hey wait a minute - we're hearing this has a week long incubation period and maybe a 3 week lifecycle...care to explain why 70 !@#$ing days is going to be the fix here?"

Nobody's looking for a solution, they're just looking to grip harder. And sooner or later they're going to lose buy-in. Everyone's going to throw up their hands and you'll get that same damn spike.
You're essentially trying to buy time. Buy time to stock up materials for hospitals and capacity (should have done that in January or Feb, but thats in the past and here we are). Buy time for a therapeutic (prophylactic antibodies will be here late spring early summer).

You can't buy time for a vaccine. They're saying 18 months, the average vaccine takes about 5 years so i wouldn't hold my breath on that one.

So in the end, yeah, you needed either a better plan or be better at relaying what the actual plan was.
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