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Originally Posted by petegz28
8,400+ new cases already in NY today.....
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So now there are self-selection/inherent bias factors to consider, are there not?
So I think we can agree that the most vulnerable populations get hit first and hardest, right? So you figure those populations are going to see significant spikes in hospitalization rates.
Now we may be getting into what I would consider a necessary 'buffer' population. People with stronger immune systems who may either 1) fight off instances of exposure a time or two or 2) simply take longer to manifest symptoms that would yield testing.
So one would hope that later waves of infections might be people who are better equipped to handle them. That wave would then hopefully have lower rates of hospitalization.
It's either that or the admission rates remain a significant lagging indicator and what we're seeing right now is just a brief downturn before another surge up. Which would be damn unfortunate. If it's the former, we're getting into 'productive' confirmed cases a little bit.