Quote:
Originally Posted by Donger
45,000,000 cases and 80,000 deaths is a CFR of 0.017%, no?
|
It's 0.17, but it's near the upper bound of the 95% CI (2 sd). He's also not accounting for there being more cases which would push the CFR down or the estimate being near the lower bound of the 95% CI.
For his numbers to be true the number of cases would have to be exactly on the estimate and the CFR would have to be two standard deviations above the estimate.
__________________
"When the Know-Nothings get control, it will read 'all men are created equal, except negroes, and foreigners, and Catholics.' When it comes to this I should prefer emigrating to some country where they make no pretense of loving liberty – to Russia, for instance, where despotism can be taken pure, and without the base alloy of hypocrisy.”--Abraham Lincoln
|