Quote:
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins
If it's that contagious the growth in hospitalizations would have started sooner, and it's unlikely so many healthcare workers would have fallen ill and died because the mortality rate would be extremely low.
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There are a few models that fit the current reality by increasing the R0 and decreasing mortality rates. Regarding healthcare workers, I'm not sure what the actual numbers there are. We hear sensationalized media reports but I really haven't seen any hard numbers. As was pointed out, viral dosage can play a huge role as well. That alone could account for a higher mortality rate among health care workers.
Too many unknowns still, it would be a very good start for us to get random serology testing rolled out.
(and yes the Italian report is not very random at all)