Quote:
Originally Posted by AustinChief
There are a few models that fit the current reality by increasing the R0 and decreasing mortality rates. Regarding healthcare workers, I'm not sure what the actual numbers there are. We hear sensationalized media reports but I really haven't seen any hard numbers. As was pointed out, viral dosage can play a huge role as well. That alone could account for a higher mortality rate among health care workers.
Too many unknowns still, it would be a very good start for us to get random serology testing rolled out.
(and yes the Italian report is not very random at all)
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We don't really know if viral dosage plays a role or not. That's an operating hypothesis, but it's not definitive.
Regarding healthcare workers, over 60 physicians in Italy have died of COVID-19. Of those, about 38% were GPs and would not have been performing intubations or other aerosolizing procedures that would induce a large viral load into the air, which potentially complicates the theory that initial viral load determines your clinical course.
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"When the Know-Nothings get control, it will read 'all men are created equal, except negroes, and foreigners, and Catholics.' When it comes to this I should prefer emigrating to some country where they make no pretense of loving liberty – to Russia, for instance, where despotism can be taken pure, and without the base alloy of hypocrisy.”--Abraham Lincoln
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