Quote:
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins
We don't really know if viral dosage plays a role or not. That's an operating hypothesis, but it's not definitive.
Regarding healthcare workers, over 60 physicians in Italy have died of COVID-19. Of those, about 38% were GPs and would not have been performing intubations or other aerosolizing procedures that would induce a large viral load into the air, which potentially complicates the theory that initial viral load determines your clinical course.
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True that it isn't definitive. I think it's highly likely but that's mostly a guess.
What do you think the R0 for Covid-19 is? Actually, let me specify... what do you think the R0 factor in the US was before social distancing? My (complete guess here) thought is that it was around 3, possibly even 3.5.
On a related note, we have 310k+ confirmed cases, what do you think the actual number of cases is? I realize this is almost completely a guess.