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Old 04-06-2020, 11:30 AM   #17312
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaFace View Post
Bill Gates suggested that we might be able to move to a mail-in test kind of like when you do a cheek swab for ancestry DNA tests and the like. Scale is still an issue, but that'd move it forward much more quickly.
That's the disconnect we started with, virtually from day 1.

When Trump says "anyone can get tested..." he was only half wrong. There WERE massive amounts of test kits, but they were being withheld because we had nothing resembling the ability to provide meaningful results to meaningful numbers.

So yeah, Bill Gates (sigh) is suggesting a solid path - but it's also a useless suggestion because it says NOTHING about our ability to process those results. Or the fact that you'd probably need to get one of those things once a month for it to matter at all - because being healthy on 4/6 says nothing about where you'll be on 5/6.

You say 'scale is still an issue' but the bottom line is that scale has been THE issue the entire time and there's no reason to believe it's clearly a solvable one. At least not while we still have an N of 345+ million of uninfected people who's bodies have no natural immunity to the thing. That N has to come down substantially for any attempts at a mass testing protocol to be useful. Then you're working with numbers that are closer to being truly scaleable.
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