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Old 04-07-2020, 08:53 AM   #17704
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins View Post
An abundance of caution is done absolutely all the time in medicine. It's the foundation of halting the spread of disease.

Have a patient with suspected TB on the floor and they're immediately moved to negative pressure isolation and everyone that comes in contact with them is wearing masks, goggles, gloves, gowns, and booties.

Now, imagine you have thousands of patients with suspected TB, but you can't identify them quickly, and they've been interacting with thousands of other people. You don't have time to parse information to identify a perfect model, because even the most prominent statisticians in the country will admit and have continually said that building these models is incredibly hard.
But this wasn't just about medicine. This isn't a hospital making this call - this is an entire government. These are decisions that need to be made outside of hospitals going forward. Businesses, schools, stadiums, a million other considerations need to be in place now going forward to determine the best possible outcomes and we made NO progress towards learning what those are.

It's just myopic to say "well we had to treat the entire country like a triage ward..." because that was never how this was going to have to be addressed as a country.

That's been the biggest failure in all of this and again, it WASN'T unpredictable because I said it from the damn start. We only every looked at any of this from a single perspective and in so doing we've not given ourselves the needed information to actually address it going forward.

If July shows a spike, or the almost inevitable spike that will come in November shows its head, we're at square 1. Because we treated the entire nation as a triage ward regardless of their position on the ground and that was a MASSIVE mistake.
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