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Old 04-07-2020, 10:54 AM   #17844
Marcellus Marcellus is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SAUTO View Post

A study by disease modelers at the University of Texas at Austin states that "Given the low testing rates throughout the country, we assume that 1 in 10 cases are tested and reported. If a county has detected only 1 case of COVID-19, there is a 51%
chance that there is already a growing outbreak underway" [source]
[source]


And if that assumption is true wouldn't the mortality rate be 1/10th of what we know? It seems like these numbers get used both ways all the time. More cases/higher mortality rate etc...
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