[DaFace]

Originally Posted by Donger

Top public health official says number of dead could be lower as Americans practice social distancing

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/07/polit...ons/index.html

OK, this helps to make sense of it a lot:

"Those models that were done, they assumed that only about 50% of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, it would seem, a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart -- and I think that's the direct consequence of why you're seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much, much lower than would've been predicted by the models," Redfield said.

At least it's not "we played with the numbers a bunch and came up with a new answer!"