Quote:
Originally Posted by AustinChief
Apparently no one wants to actually answer your question but would rather suck Hamas off.
The reason the models have been so far off is because they are based on data that we simply don't have so we are forced to make assumptions. In theory, as time goes on we accumulate more data and can make fewer guesses and the models become more accurate.
So, yes, the answer is that they were "way wrong" but that's to be expected. With so many unknowns, if a model had been even somewhat accurate it would have been a minor miracle.
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Well, the 50% compliance was clearly a guess, as it had to be, but apparently the 90% is known with much higher certainty, no? I'd like to find out how they got that figure, though. I thought I read something about mobile phone tracking, but that's a can of worms that I'd rather not open at this stage.