Quote:
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins
If you practice enough distancing to lower the effective R0 of the virus to less than one, you will reach a peak sooner with fewer cases because the virus is being transmitted to less than one additional person for every infection, and thus, cannot sustain itself past the incubation and convalescent period.
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You believe the R0 is presently anywhere near 1? And that it happened in, what, a week?
C'mon. You continue to overstate the ease in which you can drive a virus's R0 down to 1.
And again, how do you explain the fact that those models, even the best case scenarios with complete social isolation, DIDN'T do what you're saying would happen. They didn't bring the peak in sooner - they simply reduced it even flatter and for even longer.
The models that you're trying desperately to defend didn't even do what you claim is so facially obvious as to be beyond reproach.