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Old 04-14-2020, 08:55 PM   #20915
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins View Post
I don't know what is in their secret sauce. I know that modeling for complex stuff like this is incredibly hard. I also know, and have said it in here before, that you always lose in public health--if you make dour predictions you're an alarmist. If people heed the predictions and death rates are lower you caused a panic for nothing. If people die in large numbers you get roasted for not acting sooner.

So here is my prediction for the model tomorrow: people will bitch about it.
Absolutely.

And I'll be the first one bitching.
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