Quote:
Originally Posted by DaFace
Again, the issue is that it just doesn't pass the sniff test. If 32% were exposed, that means that tripling the number of deaths per capita should yield a maximum per-capita death rate. But according to Covidly, Massachusetts is at 251 compared to New York at 924. It's hard to reconcile that, though I know that things are still settling out.
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Given the amount of asymptomatic and mild cases there really isn’t any reason to assume a tripling of hospitalizations or death rates. The safe assumption we can make is that we are much closer to catching all of the severe cases than we are to catching all cases.