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Old 04-23-2020, 06:35 PM   #24154
petegz28 petegz28 is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Olathe, Ks
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lewdog View Post
Peak for AZ listed at May 22 now. Mostly due to absolutely shit testing in this state.
That makes 0 sense to me. So because testing was slow or something that manufactures a peak at a later time? This whole "peak" thing to me is kinda crap. Just because people weren't getting tested does that mean they weren't sick with this and can't be sick with this until you test for it?

I just can't seem to get this I guess. It starts in WA then we hear NY and then as if it were some kind of wave going back across the country everyones "peak" was 2 weeks from some day after NY.

Now, if Ks was on lock down the entire time NY was why is it the peak in KS has to be later? And if that's the case why didn't KS lock down 2 weeks later?

I think it gets pretty simple at this point. It's a 2 part question...

Are your hospitals being overrun?
How many people in your city, county, state are dying from this?

This whole thing of modeling bell curves based off of testing seems to be stupid which is probably why the models all break within 24 hours of being updated.
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